Radiology Rising Demand Falling Income

>The US is aging.  Between 2010 and 2035, all age
Highly paid Radiologists may not generate muchgroups 70 and above will increase over 95%. This
sympathy but their world may be changing. Themeans there will be a greater demand for all health
constant rise in their salaries seems to have hit a wallcare services. Further, it is estimated that as many as
and indeed due to some changes in reimbursementone-third of today's practicing physicians will retire by
rates they may actually have fallen recently After a2020. There are about 30,000 practicing radiologists in
number of years of rising salaries Radiologists are athe US.
sharp setback in income.  The constant rise in theirThe recession and massive job loss across the
salaries seems to have hit a wall and indeed due tocountry has had a direct impact on the revenue
changes in reimbursement rates they  actually havestream to physicians. When people lose their job, they
fallen recently.  Even before any health care reformalso lose their health care benefits and so access to
has been enacted Radiologists are seeing their incomehealth care.  Further, the makers of high-tech imaging
fall and in addition the recession is also impacting theequipment may take a big hit should government
bottom line negatively. This situation is not limited toinsurance payments for such tests be reduced. Lower
Radiology jobs, last year U.S. hospitals saw morereimbursements may make hospitals reconsider buying
patients without insurance or the ability to pay theirthe $1 million imaging machines.
hospital bills. Bad debt has risen, while donations haveThe recent stock market collapse has had a major
fallen. Even though the United States is beginning toimpact on older physicians retirement plans. Some
have a physician shortage which may intensify as theRadiologists are postponing retirement because of the
largest part of the population, the baby boomers, ageeconomy's impact on their retirement savings. But
and their need for health care grows.even a delay of a few years remedy the  loss of
At a time when the cost of education is rising and inexperienced physicians. This postponement has
some states like California at a rapid rate, the ability toresulted in fewer jobs being offered and graduating
pay back the debt is falling. This means that someresidents not finding as many opportunities as before.
physicians must take into consideration what job theyResidents rather than committing themselves to less
can afford to take right out of their Residency ordesirable jobs now, are opting for Radiology Locum
Fellowship.  Physicians have always been able tojobs and waiting before committing to full time
carry the burden of their long and expensive education,employment. So for the short term, it appears there
because they knew in the end their future earningsare fewer good jobs available.
would cover the debt.  What happens if in our hasteHealth  Reform
to cut health care costs we destroy the ability of ourAnother uncertainty is the outcome of national health
top students to undertake this path.reform.  If the health care reform actually works in
The Slowing Economy and Aging Populationincreasing the enrollment into health care insurance
At the same time a study indicates that there isthen the long term the aging population and these
currently a shortage of diagnostic radiologists in theincreased numbers should push demand for services
United States. The American College of Radiology'sand therefore cost higher. However, no one yet
survey of hiring in 1998 measured the shortage at 600,knows what will happen to reimbursement rates from
but others see technology easing the shortage asMedicare. Already there has been some lowering of
radiologists are able to perform more proceduresrates they pay in Radiology affecting all specialties
more efficiently.including Interventional Radiology jobs.